empty
InstaForex Loprais Team - Dakar rally的正式参与者
InstaForex Loprais Team - Dakar rally的正式参与者
This section features the most important information about trading with InstaForex. We provide both analysis from leading experts for experienced traders and articles on trading conditions for beginners. Our services will help increase your profit potential.
Become Trader
开户
另见
交易条件
外汇分析
图表
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
如何开始交易
有用信息
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM 系统
外汇跟单系统
被动投资
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
主页
合作伙伴区域
同盟的优势
注册
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
比赛
事件
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
论坛
我们在社交网络
外汇幽默
外汇门户
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
为什么选择我们
InstaSport
法规
公司新闻
奖项
InstaForex 明星
InstaForex 线下
Headquarters
关键文件
的社会责任
01.08.2022 10:01 AM
The euro's collapse is imminent: why the EUR/USD pair risks falling much below parity with the dollar
Open trading account Open demo account

This image is no longer relevant

This year, the euro has already fallen by more than 10% against the US dollar. But many analysts believe that this is far from the limit and predict a further decline for the EUR/USD pair.

What's going on with the euro?

Last month, heightened fears of a global recession sharply increased investors' appetite for a safe dollar, as a result of which the risky euro was in a strong flight.

Recall that in early July, the euro reached parity with the greenback for the first time in 20 years. The low was 0.9952.

Nevertheless, over the past two weeks, the EUR/USD pair has been able to recover slightly and has risen slightly above parity. Now the euro is trading at about 1.02, but at the same time it continues to remain under strong statistical pressure.

This image is no longer relevant

Last Friday, data showed that the German economy, which is the leading one in Europe, stagnated, and inflation in the 19-member currency bloc exceeded forecasts and soared to a new record of 8.9%.

As for this week, data on retail sales in the EU is expected to be released on Wednesday. Economists predict a decline in the indicator, which may negatively affect the euro's rate.

Why will the euro fall?

According to Bloomberg analysts, the eurozone is currently approaching another existential crisis similar to the one it experienced in 2012. Then the high level of debt of some EU countries led to speculation that the region could break up.

Recall that 10 years ago, the euro collapsed to $1.20. However, this year the euro is feeling even worse, as it has been under pressure from many negative factors.

One of them is another escalation of fears about the collapse of the eurozone. This time, the main source of concern is the situation in Italy.

Now the country, which is the third largest economy in Europe, is sinking deeper into the debt pit. Its inability to pay off its obligations may bury the project of a united Europe.

The risk increases amid political instability in the country. Italy is experiencing a government crisis again: in mid-July, due to contradictions in the ruling coalition, Prime Minister Mario Draghi resigned.

The tense situation ahead of early parliamentary elections hinders the work of the European Central Bank, which is trying in every way to prevent the fragmentation of the region amid divergence in the debt spreads of eurozone members.

Do not forget that in parallel, the ECB continues to struggle with high inflation, which is breaking records everywhere this year.

In July, the central bank raised the interest rate by 50 bps, to 0.5%, while its US counterpart added another 75 bps to its benchmark last month, pulling the rate to the range of 2.25-2.5%.

However, a large discrepancy in the monetary policy of the ECB and the Federal Reserve is far from the only obstacle for the EUR/USD pair. The euro's growth is severely limited by fears of a recession in the European region.

According to the Swiss bank Credit Suisse, the probability of a slowdown in economic growth in Europe by the end of the year is 50%, and Goldman Sachs analysts believe that the EU is already entering this phase.

Anyway, for the rest of the year, the word "recession" in the context of the European economy will continue to scare away bulls on the EUR/USD pair.

Given the strong exposure of the EU to the energy crisis, American bank J.P. Morgan predicts that by the end of the year the euro risks falling to 95 cents.

Аlena Ivannitskaya,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
选择时间框架
5
分钟
15
分钟
30
分钟
1
小时
4
小时
1
天
1
周
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
All Analytics
预测
英鎊/美元。分析與預測 今天，英鎊/美元對顯示出強勁的增長，達到自2024年10月以來未曾見過的水準。這主要由於美國美元的空頭勢頭所推動，為英鎊創造了有利的條件。
Irina Yanina
11:00 2025-04-03 +02:00
1030
分析新闻
特朗普對進口商品加徵10%關稅，市場陷入緊張，黃金和歐元飆升 經過動盪的交易環境後，儘管開盤動盪，但美國股市最終上漲，華爾街劇烈反彈。大部分的動能來自於最後幾小時的交易，而投資者急於在特朗普總統重大經濟宣布之前部署。
Thomas Frank
10:55 2025-04-03 +02:00
1015
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

特朗普對進口商品加徵10%關稅，市場陷入緊張，黃金和歐元飆升

經過動盪的交易環境後，儘管開盤動盪，但美國股市最終上漲，華爾街劇烈反彈。大部分的動能來自於最後幾小時的交易，而投資者急於在特朗普總統重大經濟宣布之前部署。
Thomas Frank 10:55 2025-04-03 UTC+2

100億美元：錯誤的代價。強生再次成為焦點

資產負債表的指標處於動盪狀態。航空類股下跌。
14:26 2025-04-02 UTC+2

4月2日美國市場新聞摘要

在唐納·川普發表關於關稅的演講前，市場參與者需要消化一系列的經濟數據。投資者密切關注他的宣布，就像等待一場重要的首映。
Natalia Andreeva 12:44 2025-04-02 UTC+2

100億美元：錯誤的代價？J&J再次陷入法律風暴

儘管投資者因唐納德·特朗普宣布新貿易關稅前的緊張情緒而緊繃，美國股市週二在關鍵的 S&P 500 和納斯達克綜合指數收盤上升。 最近幾週，金融市場經歷高度波動。
Thomas Frank 08:02 2025-04-02 UTC+2

2025年第一季度：市場見證自2022年以來最大幅度的利率下降

美國股市在2025年第一季度以下跌結束。標普500指數和納斯達克綜合指數錄得自2022年以來最弱的季度表現，受到環繞唐納德·特朗普新經濟策略的不確定性影響。
Thomas Frank 12:03 2025-04-01 UTC+2

4月1日美國市場新聞摘要

美國股市指數在當日交易中出現混合結果：S&P 500 上漲了0.55%，而納斯達克100則下降了0.14%。這種不確定性來自特朗普政府可能引入的新關稅。
Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:37 2025-04-01 UTC+2

黃金在危機中閃耀：全球動盪中錄得自1986年以來最佳季度表現

週一，由於美國總統川普的強烈言辭，全球市場陷入混亂，他暗示計劃將關稅措施擴展至幾乎所有國家。其言論加深了投資者對不斷升級的全球貿易衝突的焦慮，這可能會將世界經濟拖入衰退。
12:51 2025-03-31 UTC+2

3月31日美國市場新聞摘要

美國市場在本週開始時出現大規模拋售，原因是報復性貿易關稅的討論不斷升溫以及消費者信心惡化。投資者大量拋售股票，擔心白宮可能實施新的進口關稅。
Irina Maksimova 12:16 2025-03-31 UTC+2

黃金：新的危機之王？全球動盪中創下自1986年以來的最佳季度

在週一，美國總統唐納德·特朗普直言不諱地表示他計劃將關稅擴展到幾乎每個國家，這加劇了投資者對日益增長的全球貿易衝突威脅的擔憂，可能將世界經濟推入衰退，導致全球股市陷入混亂。 在總統專機空軍一號上與記者交談時，特朗普明確表示：不會有例外。
Thomas Frank 09:35 2025-03-31 UTC+2

特朗普施壓——股市應聲下跌

全球金融市場連續第二天受到衝擊，而金價則飆升至歷史新高。這可歸因於白宮推動的貿易對抗升級，令人措手不及。
11:46 2025-03-28 UTC+2

Top analytics

Relevance up to 21:00 2025-04-03 UTC--4
歐元/美元匯率概覽 – 4月3日。特朗普的關稅：沒那麼簡單
06:10 2025-04-03
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 21:00 2025-04-03 UTC--4
4月3日EUR/USD交易建議與分析：無關稅，無波動
03:53 2025-04-03
Trading plan
Relevance up to 22:00 2025-04-03 UTC--4
2025年4月3日歐元/美元匯率預測
05:07 2025-04-03
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 03:00 2025-04-04 UTC--4
外匯預測 2025年04月03日：EUR/USD、USD/JPY、SP500、黃金和比特幣
09:57 2025-04-03
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 02:00 2025-04-04 UTC--4
4月2日股票市場：S&P 500與NASDAQ創下年度新低
09:13 2025-04-03
Stock Markets
现在无法通话？
提出您的问题，用 在线帮助.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.