Analisis Forex & Kajian: 09.01.2024 - Bitcoin ETFs can be approved...

09.01.2024 04:48 PM

Bitcoin ETFs can be approved tomorrow

Yesterday, the cryptocurrency Bitcoin sharply surged upward and surpassed the $45,256 level. Recall that Bitcoin's quotes fluctuated between $40,746 and $45,256 for a month. However, expectations related to the approval of applications for launching a Bitcoin ETF continue to push the cryptocurrency higher. In our view, Bitcoin has already appreciated significantly. We do not believe that the cryptocurrency will reach $100,000 or $200,000 soon, but the market continues accumulating coins, driving the price up. The next target is the $51,350 level.

Last week, we discussed that the SEC, led by Gary Gensler, a known opponent of cryptocurrencies and cryptocurrency market development, could block all received applications for Bitcoin ETFs. The source of this information is unclear, but this week the market once again began to believe in the approval of these applications. Faith and optimism have prevailed over disbelief and pessimism. Many major banks and analytical agencies have stated that they are anticipating a positive verdict from the SEC, which has spurred the market for new purchases.

Yesterday, Bloomberg analysts stated that they expect the approval of applications as early as this Wednesday, meaning tomorrow and trading of the new instrument will begin immediately. Bloomberg believes the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission only needs two technical procedures. The first is to approve applications from exchanges where the new Bitcoin ETF will be traded. The second is to approve applications for the issuers' registration of the investment instrument. The agency believes that these issues will be resolved in the coming days.

"The probability of applications being rejected does not exceed 5%. If the SEC provides all the necessary documents and permissions, companies and institutional investors can start trading Bitcoin ETFs the next day," Bloomberg stated. This is undoubtedly positive news for Bitcoin, and as we can see, the market is reacting to it, even though the cryptocurrency has already tripled in price from last year's lows.

If this trend continues, the "halving" and the Fed's interest rate reduction could lead to even greater growth in the cryptocurrency. However, we still do not believe in Bitcoin's eternal rise, but at the moment, there are no sell signals, so selling cryptocurrency is not advisable.

On the 24-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has surpassed the $45,256 level. Therefore, at this time, buying remains the most logical and justified approach, with targets at $48,500 and $51,350. There are no sell signals or hints of them at the moment. We would only consider short positions after a rebound from any target level with the goal of the nearest lower level. However, the upward trendline clearly indicates the continuation of the bullish sentiment, making buying more preferable at the moment.

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Crypto-currencies

Paolo Greco,
Pakar analisis InstaForex
© 2007-2025

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