empty
24.02.2025 03:19 PM
US stock market takes nosedive

The animal spirits that propelled the S&P 500 up by 50% over the past two years are now taking on a global character. The capital shift from North America to Europe and Asia appears to be just beginning. The loss of the US stock market's exclusivity and signs of weakening consumer demand triggered the worst one-day decline in US equities since mid-December.

Global stock market trends

This image is no longer relevant

For a long time, the S&P 500 served as a safe haven for capital. The US economy demonstrated remarkable resilience against the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary tightening, while the AI-driven boom made investing in the Magnificent Seven a no-brainer. Fears surrounding Donald Trump's tariff threats further boosted demand for US-issued securities.

However, as it became increasingly clear, the White House's tariff threats were merely part of negotiation tactics. So, as US high-tech giants faced growing competition from overseas, the market flipped upside down. Money began flowing out of North America at roughly the same pace it had rushed in during 2023–2024.

At the same time, the declining US dollar made foreign assets more attractive. Chinese stocks, for example, with a P/E ratio of 15, appear significantly cheaper than their US counterparts, which are trading at a P/E of 22.

Asian stocks and the US dollar

This image is no longer relevant

The rush to exit US markets is also fueled by signs of impending stagflation. Consumer confidence (University of Michigan) has plunged. Business activity in the services sector has contracted for the first time in two years. Inflation expectations have surged to their highest level since 1995. These signals point to an economy losing momentum while inflation risks accelerate. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee attempted to calm the markets, stating that one report won't dictate policy decisions. However, investors chose to hit the sell button instead.

The market sentiment has shifted

Previously, bad news for the US economy was good news for the S&P 500, as it fueled expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve. Now, bad news only fuels corrections.

Likewise, earlier speculation about lower-than-expected Trump tariffs supported the broad stock index, while now, such reports boost its foreign competitors. The Magnificent Seven are no longer market leaders—investors are actively seeking alternatives.

This image is no longer relevant

Strategic outlook

These shifts create an opportunity to implement paired trading strategies, simultaneously shorting the S&P 500 and buying its counterparts in Germany, Europe, or China—at least until mid-March, when the market starts pricing in the April 2 reciprocal tariff measures.

From a technical viewpoint, the daily chart of the S&P 500 is forming a broadening wedge reversal pattern. Shorts from 6,083 should be maintained and periodically increased.

Pilih carta masa
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Apakah yang Perlu Diberikan Perhatian pada 10 April? Pecahan Acara Asas kepada Pedagang Baharu

Analisis Laporan Makroekonomi: Hanya sedikit acara makroekonomi yang dijadualkan pada hari Khamis, namun laporan inflasi Amerika Syarikat masih mempunyai sedikit kepentingan bagi para pedagang. Buat masa ini, pengaruh inflasi adalah

Paolo Greco 06:49 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan GBP/USD. 10 April: Trump Bertemu Lawannya

Pada hari Rabu, pasangan mata wang GBP/USD menunjukkan turun naik naik dan turun. Penurunan pada sebelah petang telah sekali lagi menimbulkan beberapa persoalan, walaupun pergerakan pasaran dalam bulan-bulan kebelakangan

Paolo Greco 03:21 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan EUR/USD. 10 April: Dari Kekuatan Kepada Pergelutan

Pasangan mata wang EUR/USD meneruskan dagangan dalam arah menaik pada hari Rabu, sekali lagi gagal untuk kekal di bawah garis purata bergerak. Donald Trump terus mengumumkan tarif baharu — atau

Paolo Greco 03:21 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Dolar – Mata Wang Bertoksik

Masalah jarang datang bersendirian — ia sering muncul secara berpasangan atau berkumpulan. Kejatuhan keistimewaan Amerika hanyalah satu daripada cabaran yang dihadapi oleh pergerakan menurun dalam pasangan EUR/USD. Pasangan mata wang

Marek Petkovich 00:59 2025-04-10 UTC+2

GBP/JPY: Turun, Hanya Turun

Pasangan GBP/JPY kini berada dalam fasa kejatuhan bebas. Hanya seminggu yang lalu, pasangan silang ini hampir mencecah kawasan 196.00, manakala pada hari Rabu, pihak penjual telah menolaknya ke paras terendah

Irina Manzenko 00:59 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Kemas kini tentang pasaran saham AS: Kronik Trump, 9 April

Seperti yang diumumkan oleh pentadbiran Trump semalam, pada 8 April, tarif baru yang lebih tinggi ke atas barang-barang China akan mula berkuat kuasa di AS bermula dari 9 April, mencapai

Jozef Kovach 12:55 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Pertumbuhan Pasaran yang Mengundang

104%! Siapakah yang seterusnya? Pertaruhan dalam perang perdagangan antara A.S. dan China semakin melonjak, menyebabkan S&P 500 terus merosot. Ini berlaku tepat selepas pembukaan yang kuat dan kenaikan harian sebanyak

Marek Petkovich 10:36 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Apa yang Perlu Diperhatikan pada 8 April? Penjelasan Fundamental untuk Pedagang Baharu

Sekali lagi, tiada peristiwa makroekonomi dijadualkan pada hari Rabu. Walau bagaimanapun, pasaran kurang memberi perhatian kepada penunjuk makroekonomi tradisional, jadi laporan ekonomi biasa tidak diperlukan. Pasaran sepenuhnya tertumpu kepada Perang

Paolo Greco 06:57 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan GBP/USD. 9 April. Maklumat Palsu, Khabar Angin, Spekulasi dan Pendapat

Pasangan mata wang GBP/USD didagangkan dengan agak tenang pada hari Selasa, tetapi hari Isnin membawa ribut penuh ke dalam pasaran. Selama beberapa hari kebelakangan ini, kami telah menggunakan istilah seperti

Paolo Greco 02:55 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Gambaran EUR/USD. 9 April. Sarkas Amerika dan Ketenangan Sementara Pasaran

Pasangan mata wang EUR/USD didagangkan dengan lebih tenang pada hari Selasa. Tidak hairanlah—pasaran sudah bertindak balas terhadap semua berita mengenai tarif dan tindak balas tarif, dan tarikh pelaksanaan sebenar tidak

Paolo Greco 02:55 2025-04-09 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.