empty
25.03.2025 07:36 PM
Analysis for GBP/USD on March 25, 2025

This image is no longer relevant

The wave pattern for GBP/USD remains somewhat ambiguous but still manageable. Currently, there is a high probability of a long-term downward trend forming. Wave 5 has taken a convincing shape, so I consider the larger Wave 1 to be complete. If this assumption is correct, the pair is now in the process of forming Wave 2, with targets around the 1.26 and 1.28 levels. The first two subwaves of Wave 2 appear to be complete, and the third could end at any moment.

Demand for the pound has recently grown solely due to the "Trump factor," which remains its main ally. However, over a longer horizon—beyond just a few days—the pound still lacks a fundamental basis for growth. The Bank of England and the Fed have recently shifted their stances in favor of the pound, as the BoE is now also in no rush to cut interest rates. The current wave structure remains intact, but any new price increase could raise serious doubts about its sustainability.

The GBP/USD rate increased by 30 basis points on Tuesday. Of course, it may fall by 50–60 points during the U.S. session, as neither buyers nor sellers have any clear reason to be active in the short term. Yesterday's PMI figures from the U.S. and the UK were mixed, and today there were no news releases, reports, or speeches at all. Therefore, the pound's strengthening in the first half of the day is not fundamentally justified, and the second half may bring a decline—if not today, then likely tomorrow.

Recently, there have been no new announcements from Donald Trump regarding tariffs. More precisely, Trump constantly talks about them, keeping market participants on edge. However, according to insider information from the White House, the president's anger may be softening slightly. This does not imply a complete abandonment of tariffs against the European Union, but they may become more moderate and targeted. The same applies to other countries, including the UK.

At the moment, it doesn't really matter who the U.S. tariffs are targeting. What matters is that demand is falling for the dollar—not necessarily rising for the euro or the pound. Therefore, new tariffs may strengthen both the euro and the pound simply because the dollar is depreciating. I should also note that although tariff tensions have eased slightly in recent days, this hasn't helped the U.S. dollar in any meaningful way. That's why I find it hard to say what exactly needs to happen for the dollar to regain market trust.

This image is no longer relevant

General Conclusions

The wave pattern for GBP/USD indicates that the downward trend is continuing, as is Wave 2. At this point, I would recommend looking for new entry points to sell, as the current wave structure still suggests the development of the downward movement that began last autumn. However, how—and for how long—Donald Trump's policies will continue to affect market sentiment remains a mystery. The current strengthening of the pound looks excessive within the existing wave structure. The BoE and FOMC meetings could have served as a starting point for Wave 3, but it seems they did not.

On the higher wave scale, the wave structure has changed. We can now assume the formation of a downward trend, as the previous three-wave upward movement appears to be complete. If this assumption is correct, we should expect a corrective Wave 2 or b, followed by an impulsive Wave 3 or c.

Core Principles of My Analysis

  • Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex structures are hard to trade and often prone to revisions.
  • If you're not confident in what's happening in the market, it's better to stay out.
  • You can never be 100% certain about the direction of the market. Always use protective Stop Loss orders.
  • Wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies.
Pilih carta masa
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Analisis EUR/USD pada 23 Jun 2025

Struktur gelombang bagi carta 4 jam EUR/USD terus menunjukkan pembentukan segmen aliran menaik. Perubahan ini berpunca sepenuhnya daripada dasar perdagangan baharu Amerika Syarikat. Sehingga 28 Februari — tarikh bermulanya penyusutan

Chin Zhao 19:08 2025-06-23 UTC+2

Ramalan Mingguan Berdasarkan Analisis Gelombang Ringkas untuk GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, EUR/JPY, EUR/GBP dan Indeks Dolar AS — 23 Jun

Dalam beberapa hari akan datang, penurunan semula dalam sebut harga GBP dijangka berlaku, berkemungkinan mencapai zon sokongan yang telah dikira. Selepas mencapai tahap ini, sebut harga berkemungkinan akan bergerak secara

Isabel Clark 11:14 2025-06-23 UTC+2

Ramalan Mingguan Berdasarkan Analisis Gelombang Ringkas untuk EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/CAD, NZD/USD, dan Emas — 23 Jun

Pergerakan mendatar dijangka berterusan. Berhampiran zon sokongan yang dijangkakan, terdapat kebarangkalian tinggi berlakunya jeda dan pembentukan syarat untuk pembalikan arah. Pergerakan harga ke atas adalah lebih mungkin berlaku menjelang akhir

Isabel Clark 11:09 2025-06-23 UTC+2

Analisis GBP/USD pada 18 Jun 2025

Corak gelombang bagi GBP/USD terus menunjukkan perkembangan struktur gelombang dorongan menaik. Corak ini hampir sama dengan EUR/USD kerana pemacu utamanya ialah dolar AS. Permintaan terhadap dolar kini semakin lemah secara

Chin Zhao 13:09 2025-06-20 UTC+2

Ramalan Mingguan Berdasarkan Analisis Gelombang Ringkas untuk GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, EUR/JPY, EUR/GBP dan Indeks Dolar AS – 19 Jun

Pada permulaan minggu hadapan, pound British berkemungkinan akan melengkapkan pergerakan menaiknya, dengan potensi untuk mencapai zon rintangan. Selepas itu, dijangkakan turun naik mata wang ini akan beralih kepada corak mendatar

Isabel Clark 10:32 2025-06-20 UTC+2

RAMALAN MINGGUAN BERDASARKAN ANALISIS GELOMBANG RINGKAS Untuk EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/CAD, NZD/USD & EMAS – 19 JUN 2025

Minggu akan datang dijangka tidak berubah untuk euro. Pergerakan pembalikan dan ke bawah dijangka dari zon rintangan menjelang pertengahan minggu. Zon sokongan yang diunjurkan menunjukkan akhir pembetulan yang paling berkemungkinan

Isabel Clark 08:10 2025-06-20 UTC+2

Analisis EUR/USD pada 19 Jun 2025

Corak gelombang pada carta EUR/USD 4 jam terus menunjukkan pembentukan bahagian aliran menaik. Transformasi dalam struktur telah berlaku semata-mata disebabkan oleh dasar perdagangan A.S. yang baharu. Sehingga 28 Februari—apabila penurunan

Chin Zhao 06:32 2025-06-20 UTC+2

Analisis GBP/USD pada 19 Jun 2025

Corak gelombang bagi GBP/USD terus menunjukkan pembentukan struktur gelombang impulsif yang bersifat menaik. Corak gelombang ini hampir sama dengan EUR/USD, memandangkan dolar Amerika Syarikat merupakan pemacu utama dalam keseluruhan pasaran

Chin Zhao 05:35 2025-06-20 UTC+2

Analisis GBP/USD pada 17 Jun 2025

Pola gelombang pada carta GBP/USD terus menunjukkan pembentukan pola gelombang impuls ke atas. Susunan gelombang ini hampir serupa dengan EUR/USD, kerana pendorong utama di sini adalah dolar A.S. Permintaan terhadap

Chin Zhao 21:24 2025-06-17 UTC+2

Analisis EUR/USD pada 17 Jun 2025

Corak gelombang pada carta 4 jam EUR/USD terus menunjukkan perkembangan segmen trend menaik. Transformasi ini berlaku semata-mata akibat dasar perdagangan baharu AS. Sehingga 28 Februari — ketika penyusutan nilai dolar

Chin Zhao 21:18 2025-06-17 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.